1) Economic Data / Fed Policy
Macro backdrop sets liquidity tone across all assets
- Rate hikes drain liquidity, amplifying CPSI Sell bias in market cycles
- Easing/dovish policy injects liquidity, confirming CPSI Buy setups
- Major data releases (CPI, Jobs, GDP) create volatility windows aligned with cycle shifts
- Use policy as context filter, not signal — CPSI triggers, policy fuels
Context Filter
Volatility Windows
Liquidity Tone
2) Price Zones
Structured ranges define cycle behavior (SOXS framework)
6–9
Base
13–16
Ignition
19–23
Mid-Zone
33–36
Target
43–46
Exhaustion
3) Candle Type • Phase • Strength
Micro analysis of current cycle position
Upper Hand (top wick)
Lower Low (bottom wick)
Triple Threat (dual wicks)
Cris Cross (doji)
Green Phase
Aqua Phase
Red Phase
Pink Phase
0 = bottoming/accumulation reset • 4 = strong climax/near reversal
3b) DRR — Directional Range Radar
Measures conviction strength
Green 2: 60–69
Purple 3: 70–79
Green 4: 80+
- Low DRR indicates unconvincing move with reversal risk
- High DRR shows silent accumulation/distribution building
- Critical to confirm price action backed by measurable conviction
4) Close Types — CAPH • CAPC • CBPC • CBPL
Actual closes confirm or deny candle pattern implications
CAPH
Closed Above Previous High → potential bullish breakout signal
CAPC
Closed Above Previous Close → minor bullish continuation
CBPC
Closed Below Previous Close → minor bearish pressure
CBPL
Closed Below Previous Low → bearish continuation trigger
5) Pool Size Liquidity Balance
Balance validates alerts; raw price movement insufficient alone
Buy Bias: Pool > Liquidity + Strength 0 at Market Levels 1–2
Sell Bias: Pool < Liquidity + Strength fading at Market Levels 3–4
6) Timing Windows
Probability-based positioning for optimal execution
Early Accumulation
Strength 0 + Pool > Liquidity = optimal entry timing window
Your Move (80% Target)
Ride conviction phase; confirm with DRR & close types
Distribution/Exhaustion
Strength 3–4 + Pool < Liquidity = exit timing signals
Monthly Pivot (~21st)
Watch for systematic cycle shifts around the 21st
Fed/Data Windows
CPI, Jobs, GDP releases often synchronize with cycle shifts